For the past few months, I’ve been tracking Geoff Huston’s predictions for when ARIN will run out. The date changes as time passes, but interestingly, it’s changing at a constant rate: The x-axis is the date I recorded the predicted runout date. The y-axis is the date ARIN was predicted to run out of address space. When […]
ARIN
Updated Look at IPv4 Market Transfers
I’ve been thinking about the rate of demand for IPv4 addresses. We can see demand on LACNIC and ARIN bringing them to the late phases of runout policy. Since APNIC and RIPE have entered their stingy final phases, the supply has nearly dried up. With no supply, the number of allocations made does not reflect […]
IP Addressing Playbook for 2014
How the Year Will Play Out I’ve run analyses and made predictions about RIR runnout, most recently in my End of 2013 blog post. So how will 2014 play? Here’s a future year in review. Life continues as usual through January and February. IPv6 deployment increases, maybe another country has their largest ISP roll out IPv6. IPv6 […]
ARIN and LACNIC Run Rates, End of 2013
It’s the last day of 2013, and a good time to consider where we are with IPv4, and where we’re going. Geoff Huston shows excellent charts of RIR run rates, and his predictions of runout are the standard for comparison. He includes some additional allocations from IANA in his calculations, and shows a probability of runout for […]
Record of Transfers in the ARIN Region
One of the wonderful things about ARIN is that they provide so much data. Here, from their list of specified transfers is a list of all transfers effected through ARIN, to date. IPv4 Block Transfer Date Buyer Seller #Addresses 204.16.240.0/21 Oct-09 TeraSwitch Nortel 2,048 216.243.96.0/20 Nov-09 Lobo Internet Services 4,096 198.32.100.0/22 Dec-09 Equinix EP.net 1,024 198.32.104.0/21 Dec-09 […]
Recent Large Allocations from ARIN
Every few days I look at ARIN’s home page to see how many addresses they have remaining, and to see if there have been any large allocations in the past few days. Sometimes they go for days with not change, then suddenly hand out a few thousand. Usually when I notice a big change, I’ll update my […]
ARIN’s Last /8
I was a little surprise this morning when I saw, following a /10 assignment to Akamai, ARIN has only 0.998 /8 equivalents remaining. This kicks off their Phase 4, which doesn’t look any different from Phase 2. However, after weeks of slow allocations, there’s a sudden dip, which changes curves a bit. (It’s worth noting that Geoff Huston’s projections, […]